Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

Tanker attack near Fujairah heightens Strait of Hormuz tensions

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization is currently priced at a 58% likelihood of normalization by the end of June. Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market shows a 37.5% prob...

Treasury warns AI could escalate cyber threats to US financial systems

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot “Total Crypto Hack Value in 2026” market is currently unpriced, with no recent activity. The news is likely to influence perceptions of cyber risk, but no immediate pricing mov...

Trump announces naval mission in Hormuz; Iran warns of ceasefire violation

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market is seeing increased interest, with current pricing suggesting heightened likelihood of a YES outcome. The “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcem...

Israel’s AI unit boosts air force in Iran conflict, raises regional tensions

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market on whether Iran will close its airspace by May 8 is currently priced at 17% YES, down from 18% 24 hours ago. For May 31, the probability stands at 37.5% YES, down from �...

Nvidia’s AI market share in China drops amid US export controls

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market assessing whether Nvidia will be the largest company by market cap on June 30 is currently priced at 70% YES. This represents a decrease from previous levels, suggestin�...

Powell plans to stay as Fed governor post-chair term, reducing early exit odds

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for “Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026” is currently priced at 1.4% YES, reflecting a decrease from previous levels. The pricing for Powell’s departur...

Israel intensifies military operations in Lebanon, delaying withdrawal plans

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026 market is priced at 4% YES. Recent news suggests continued military operations, with no active ceasefire in place. The Ethereum pri�...

White House mulls boosting US oil output amid Iran conflict

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 is currently undetermined, with activity reflecting uncertainty. Crude Oil Price Predictions by June are priced at 100% YES, suggesting confiden�...

Zelensky warns of unusual military activity on Belarus border

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for “Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31” currently stands at 77.5% YES, slightly down from 78% 24 hours ago. Meanwhile, the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire b...

US launches Operation Freedom to restore Strait of Hormuz navigation

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June” is currently priced at a consistent 58% YES. The “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market h...