Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

Pentagon expands AI use with Nvidia, boosting market cap prospects

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?” is priced at 99.9% YES, consistent over the past week. By contrast, “Will NVIDIA be the largest co...

Ukraine to escalate drone attacks amid ongoing conflict with Russia

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026” market, the probability of a ceasefire is currently priced at 0.1% YES, unchanged from 24 hours ago and down from 1% a wee...

Iran submits new proposal via Pakistan to mediate US standoff

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for a potential next U.S.-Iran diplomatic meeting currently reflects an increase in likelihood, given the recent proposal submission by Iran via Pakistan. Sub-markets f�...

Kashkari dissent highlights inflation risks from Iran conflict, complicates Fed policy

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot Fed rate cuts for 2026 are currently unresolved with significant uncertainty. For the June and July meetings, interest rate decrease probabilities are 2.9% and 88.5% YES, respecti�...

ExxonMobil output hit by 15% due to Strait of Hormuz closure

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market is currently at 100.0% YES for prices hitting $90 by the end of June. This reflects the impact of ongoing supply disruptions due to the �...

Fed dissent dampens June rate cut expectations, Bitcoin $80K April odds low

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Price Targets market shows odds of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April at 0.1% YES. Fed Decision June and July market shows a 2.9% YES probability of a 25 bps rate cut post-�...

Iran’s supreme leader rejects concessions as US weighs military options

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market shows pricing supportive of NO, with recent developments suggesting decreased likelihood of a meeting. The Reza Pahlavi market remains unc�...

Iran responds to US deal amendments via Pakistani mediators: Axios

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot The “US-Iran Ceasefire” market currently shows a 0.1% likelihood for a YES outcome, unchanged from the previous day. Meanwhile, the “Iran Military Action” market remains at...

Iran sends peace proposal to US, WTI crude futures fall

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is currently showing a lower probability for a YES outcome, with recent reports suggesting a de-escalation in U.S.-Iran tensions. The Strai�...

Iran conflict drives oil to $115, central banks adopt hawkish stance

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the Bitcoin price targets market, the $80,000 level is currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from 3% 24 hours ago. The ECB interest rates market for an April 2026 meeting decrease�...