Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

China enacts trade rules as Trump-Xi summit faces uncertainty

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Donald Trump visit China on May 3, 2026?” currently shows a 0.4% probability for a YES outcome. The pricing has remained stable over the past 24 hours, wit...

US boosts Latin America presence with military, mineral deals amid China tensions

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot U.S. Anti-Cartel Operation Timeline market shows 99.8% YES for an operation by April 30, 2026. This is an increase from 99% YES 24 hours ago and 14% YES a week ago, indicating hei�...

North Korea bolsters Russia’s Ukraine war effort with arms and troops

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by April 30, 2026: Currently priced at low probability for a YES resolution. Russia Capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026: Priced at 76.5% YES, showi�...

JetBlue expands at FLL as Spirit Airlines ceases operations

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the “Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31” market, the outcome is priced at 100.0% YES, up from 74% 24 hours ago and 24% a week ago. The market has seen substantia...

US fast-tracks arms sales to Middle East allies amid rising Iran tensions

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 are currently priced with concerns about a potential increase, but specific YES/NO pricing is not listed. The US x Iran Permanent Peace Deal by May�...

Pharos Network FDV may exceed $50M post-$PROS launch on Aerodrome

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot Pharos Network FDV Predictions market is currently observing increased interest, with a focus on whether Pharos Network’s Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) will exceed $50 million on...

Bank of Botswana hikes rates amid global inflation pressures

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot The Bank of Brazil decision market for April 2026 is currently priced at 100% YES for an interest rate increase. This reflects expectations that similar inflationary pressures imp�...

Bank of England holds rates, signals future hikes amid Iran war

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot The ECB interest rates market for April 2026 currently shows a 100% probability of maintaining the status quo, without a 50+ bps decrease. The Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026 s�...

Bennett unveils ‘Israeli Renaissance’ plan, forms alliance to challenge Netanyahu

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” is experiencing notable changes following Naftali Bennett’s announcement of the “Israeli Rena...

Israel conducts over 20 strikes on Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, dozens killed

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?” market currently shows a 0.1% YES probability, reflecting a decrease from previous levels. This suggests that recent Isra...