Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

Trump doubts Iran peace proposal amid ongoing diplomatic challenges

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down from 16% 24 hours ago. The next US-Iran diplomatic meeting market remains inactive, with no recent pricing da�...

North Korea cyber threats heighten risk of $1.2B crypto hacks in 2026

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot The “Total Crypto Hack Value in 2026” market is currently evaluating the likelihood of exceeding a $1.2 billion threshold by the end of the year. Market implications suggest in...

US blockade cripples Iranian economy despite fragile ceasefire

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for “Iran closes its airspace by May 8” is currently priced at 20.5% YES, down from 24% in the past 24 hours. The “Iran closes its airspace by May 31” market sta...

US Treasury injects $35B liquidity, supports Bitcoin’s potential rise to $115K

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Price Predictions for May 2026 are currently showing potential for an increase, with market pricing supportive of Bitcoin reaching $115,000. The market for Bitcoin Price o�...

Iran proposes peace plan amid US tensions, seeks security assurances

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot Iran’s leadership status market reflects a 33.5% YES pricing for a change by December 31, down from 36% yesterday. The market assessing the fall of the Iranian regime by May 31 i...

ECB, BOE signal rate hikes amid rising oil prices and inflation concerns

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for whether the ECB will announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting currently stands at 100% YES across all active sub-markets. This pricing appears to contr�...

China orders refineries to ignore US sanctions, raising oil supply concerns

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot Market: WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 Current Pricing: ? YES for $150 threshold Trend: Currently observing no significant movement in volume ## Key Takeaways – China’s dir...

Iranian editor calls for Bab al-Mandab Strait closure amid US tensions

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure market is currently priced at 10.5% YES, down from 14% 24 hours ago. This reflects a declining expectation of closure within the next 29 days. ## Key�...

US approves $8.6B arms sales to Middle East allies amid Iran tensions

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for “Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief” is currently unclear, with active sub-markets showing uncertainty. The “Iran surrendering enriched uranium by D...

US to maintain siege on Iran’s oil exports amid ongoing conflict

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for Iran’s enriched uranium surrender by December 31, 2026, is currently priced at 32% YES, down from 34% a day ago. The June 30, 2026, market shows a 12% YES probabili...