Kuwait has declared force majeure on its oil shipments due to the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz. The probability of UK warships entering the strait by April 30 is at 8.5% YES. The blockade, enf�...
Trump told Bloomberg he won’t lift the siege on Iran without an agreement. The market for Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief in April sits at 52.5% YES, down from 62% just 24 hours ago....
Iran declared its missile program non-negotiable, and the ceasefire-by-April-30 market dropped to 34.5% YES, down from 59% just 24 hours ago. Market reaction The ceasefire market fell 21.5 points�...
Over $400 million has been liquidated from the crypto market in the past 24 hours, hitting 143,875 users. The “What Price Will Bitcoin Hit in April” market suggests a dip to $60,000 is increasingl...
Iran’s decision to restrict traffic through the Strait of Hormuz after briefly reopening it has traders reconsidering the likelihood of a US blockade lift. Odds for Trump announcing the blockade’s...
Iran’s military accused the US of attacking an Iranian commercial ship, escalating tensions. Gulf state military action against Iran by April 30 is at 8.5% YES, up from 4% yesterday. Market react...
Iran’s Foreign Ministry has labeled an attack on a commercial ship as aggression. The market for no US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 sits at 1.5% YES, up from 2% yesterday. Market reaction ...
Iran’s foreign ministry stated that removing nuclear reserves was never a negotiation option. Odds for no US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 sit at 1.5% , up from 2% yesterday. The statement mo...
Iran has declared that transferring enriched uranium has never been an option, and the market for the U.S. obtaining Iranian enriched uranium by May 31 sits at 0% YES. This statement directly affect�...
Bitcoin is trading at $75K, up about 24% from its bear market low, but strong selling pressure and exchange inflows suggest the rally may not hold. The market for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April �...