US Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner were seen at the White House, signaling high-level coordination for imminent US-Iran ceasefire talks. “Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran ...
The likelihood of a Fed rate hike in 2027 is now 69%, as markets price in continued tightening driven by persistent inflation from geopolitical tensions. Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 202�...
Zelensky criticized US envoys for avoiding Kyiv while engaging with Moscow, calling it “disrespectful.” The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31 market is at 3% YES, down from 6% a week ago. The ...
Bitcoin hit $76,720, up 2%, after MicroStrategy’s $2.54B purchase and easing US-Iran tensions. The market for a Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April sits at 15% YES. Market reaction MicroStrategy’s...
The U.S. military boarded the M/T Tifani, a tanker linked to Iran’s shadow fleet, in the Indo-Pacific. Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by May 31 sits at 41% YES. Market reaction The...
Iran’s 2026 uprising was quashed in two nights with a massive crackdown. Iranian regime fall by April 30 is at 1% YES, unchanged from yesterday. The crackdown didn’t budge the April 30 market, ...
Solana has processed more tokenized stock trading volume than all other blockchains combined since July 2025, and the Polymarket contract for Solana reaching $110 by April 18 reflects bullish positio�...
Bitcoin is trading above $75,000 as traders watch the U.S.-Iran ceasefire’s expiry and Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation hearing for Fed Chair. The market for Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December...
Iranian security forces suppressed protests in Mashhad, and the Polymarket contract on Reza Pahlavi entering Iran by June 30 sits at 5.5% YES, down from 6% a week ago. The crackdown suggests Irani�...
Ukraine hit Russia’s Tuapse refinery with drones for the second time in a week, part of a broader campaign targeting rail and oil sites. On Polymarket, odds for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait closing by A...