Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

Libya boosts oil output amid Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz disruptions persist

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic market is currently not reporting a definitive YES or NO outcome. The recent news has implications for ongoing shipping disruptions, with potential effect�...

Trump ends Iran operations, reducing US invasion likelihood

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the “Trump Out as President by April 30” market, the YES pricing is at 0.1%, unchanged from 24 hours ago, with no time remaining. The “US Invasion of Iran” market shows ...

Trump, Putin discuss Ukraine ceasefire, potential easing of Russia sanctions

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine ceasefire market is priced at 9.5% YES, up from 8% a week ago. This market shows moderate volume, with a 1-point fluctuation noted recently. ## Key Takeaways – R...

Trump dissatisfied with Iran’s peace proposal, ceasefire prospects dim

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot The US-Iran ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% probability for a YES outcome, down from 1% a day ago. In the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting market, the outcome remains uncer�...

EU labels US unreliable amid auto tariffs, impacting Greenland acquisition odds

Crypto May 3, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the “Trump’s Acquisition of Greenland” market, the current pricing suggests a decreased likelihood of a YES outcome due to recent geopolitical tensions. The odds have move...

Trump vows to counter nuclear ambitions amid Iran tensions

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for a US-Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026, is currently priced at 22% YES, down from 24% 24 hours ago. Meanwhile, the market for the US obtaining Iranian enric�...

Banks reach compromise on crypto market structure bill, boosting Bitcoin outlook

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin’s market for May 1 shows a 99.9% YES pricing for surpassing $68,000, slightly down from 100% 24h ago. May 2 markets also show a 99.9% YES pricing for the same price level...

IRGC asserts Supreme Leader to set new Persian Gulf rules amid power shift

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot Iran Leadership Change market shows a 35.5% YES probability by December 31, down from 40% 24 hours ago. The Strait of Hormuz Traffic market suggests continued restrictions, as pri�...

Trump asserts Iran operations don’t need congressional approval amid tensions

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently reflects heightened probabilities of military action, influenced by recent statements on congressional authorization. The market odds...

Venezuela crude exports rise, surpass 1M barrels a day in April

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market currently shows a 100% YES pricing for oil hitting $90 by the end of June. The WTI Crude Oil Predictions for April 2026 market is no lon�...