## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market shows 0.1% YES, down from 1% a day ago. Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting market is trending negatively in anticipated likelihood. ## Key Takeaways – Ira...
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel Withdraws from Lebanon” market, the probability of Israel withdrawing by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 9% YES, down from 10% a day ago. The May 31, 2026,...
## Market Snapshot In the “US Invasion of Iran” market, the current pricing suggests decreasing likelihood of a US invasion of Iran before 2027. The withdrawal of US troops from Germany appears t...
## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market currently shows 100% YES pricing for the question “Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?”. This reflects unchanged senti...
## Market Snapshot The “Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?” market shows a current YES pricing at 0.1%, down from 3% 24 hours ago, and 58% seven days ago. The “Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in A...
## Market Snapshot In the “Trump’s Iranian Demands in April” market, the likelihood of a YES outcome has decreased, with recent pricing suggesting resistance to Iranian demands. The “US Decla...
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?” is currently priced at 6.5% YES, down from 8% a week ago. The April 30, 2026, sub-market remai...
## Market Snapshot US Forces Enter Iran market is currently priced with a NO-leaning indication, reflective of a de-escalation scenario following the USS Gerald R. Ford’s departure. Strait of Hormu...
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic market is currently not reporting a definitive YES or NO outcome. The recent news has implications for ongoing shipping disruptions, with potential effect�...
## Market Snapshot In the “Trump Out as President by April 30” market, the YES pricing is at 0.1%, unchanged from 24 hours ago, with no time remaining. The “US Invasion of Iran” market shows ...