Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

IDF struggles with Hezbollah drone threat, impacting Lebanon withdrawal plans

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon market shows a 0.1% YES for April 30, 2026, unchanged from 24 hours ago. The June 30, 2026, sub-market is priced at 9% YES, down from 10% a day e...

Iran accuses US of maritime piracy, impacting ceasefire talks

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot Iran’s foreign ministry statement has impacted the US-Iran ceasefire market, now at 0.5% YES, down from 1% a day ago. The likelihood of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 ha...

Nvidia may surpass Apple as largest company by market cap, odds suggest

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot Largest Company by Market Cap Predictions: Odds for NVIDIA being the largest by June 30 are priced at 67.5% YES. Recent activity shows May 31 odds at 78.3% YES, down from previous �...

Trump nominated for 2026 Nobel Peace Prize with support from Cambodia, Israel, Pakistan

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for Donald Trump winning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 is currently priced with notable interest, with recent developments potentially increasing the perceived likeliho�...

Apple iPhone revenue jumps 22% to $57B amid chip shortages

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the “Largest Company by Market Cap Predictions” market, NVIDIA is currently priced at 67.5% YES for being the largest company by June 30. Meanwhile, the “Largest Company b...

US economy grows 2% as layoffs hit 55-year low amid inflation concerns

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot The Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 market is currently showing uncertainty, with the likelihood of no rate cuts happening this year still undetermined. Meanwhile, the Fed rate�...

Israel deploys advanced defense systems to UAE amid Iran tensions

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot The “Iran Military Action” market is priced at 100% YES for military action by Iran against Israel by April 30, 2026, with no change over the past 24 hours. The “Military Act...

Strait of Hormuz closure disrupts energy, pharma supplies amid US-Iran conflict

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic market is priced at 0% YES for a return to normal levels by the end of April. Recent reports suggest ongoing severe restrictions. ## Key Takeaways – The ...

White House blocks Anthropic’s Mythos expansion over security concerns

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot Anthropic Mythos Provision to US Government market currently shows 100% YES across all sub-markets for April, May, and June 2026. This marks a significant increase from previous l�...

US GDP grows 2.0% in Q1 2026, AI investments drive 75% of increase

Crypto May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot US GDP Growth Q1 2026 market is currently priced at 100% YES for GDP growth being less than 1.0%. This has significantly increased from 26% just 24 hours ago. Recent activity show�...